Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 4.247574 4.913752 5.617103 6.411838 7.281665 8.201653 9.245125
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.362486 4.303907 5.364589 6.634512 8.099972 9.724931 11.649667
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.586555 3.658668 4.944198 6.566607 8.527006 10.788243 13.561864
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.989155 3.110020 4.537865 6.430028 8.811861 11.653844 15.242789
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.581174 2.723971 4.264965 6.398623 9.181315 12.597443 17.015623
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.252565 2.382775 3.995252 6.322927 9.459172 13.408700 18.624718
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.095152 2.261658 4.003302 6.600094 10.185971 14.787434 20.957333
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.907045 2.055926 3.859440 6.642811 10.585737 15.743300 22.765068
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.817474 1.996805 3.922220 6.972460 11.376024 17.217215 25.257460
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.726540 1.917653 3.941068 7.230146 12.066130 18.566878 27.608011
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.622636 1.793578 3.871525 7.343488 12.547171 19.639147 29.607508
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.509278 1.625925 3.708811 7.296604 12.786725 20.379840 31.172569
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.441580 1.543512 3.688441 7.477558 13.374454 21.626810 33.461128
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.374249 1.445964 3.629641 7.590051 13.860930 22.741789 35.591156
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.289926 1.282362 3.428390 7.451523 13.958796 23.308797 36.982489
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.217896 1.124171 3.214783 7.272172 13.979238 23.757746 38.211306
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.169982 1.015659 3.084576 7.223535 14.194171 24.482738 39.826307
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.128513 0.907680 2.939213 7.134292 14.335520 25.097321 41.290389
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.115796 0.897518 3.006042 7.432202 15.104351 26.642033 44.080324
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.092082 0.832298 2.939491 7.476958 15.459910 27.579687 46.021644
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.085410 0.837239 3.036927 7.833873 16.335145 29.301723 49.096717
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.076113 0.825727 3.093073 8.112802 17.086026 30.847192 51.935761
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.062419 0.784057 3.069858 8.235389 17.576959 32.007493 54.234519